Theoretical economics Theoretical economics Теоретическая экономика 2221-3260 115479 ТВОРЧЕСТВО МОЛОДЫХ ИССЛЕДОВАТЕЛЕЙ YOUNG RESEARCHERS ТВОРЧЕСТВО МОЛОДЫХ ИССЛЕДОВАТЕЛЕЙ Transformation of Vietnam’s economy: transition from a labor-intensive to a technology-oriented development model Трансформация экономики Вьетнама: переход от трудоинтенсивной к технологически ориентированной модели https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6070-3950 Шкиотов Сергей Владимирович Shkiotov Sergey Vladimirovich shkiotov@mail.ru

кандидат экономических наук;

candidate of economic sciences;

 Ковыршина Кира Ивановна Kovyrshina Kira Ivanovna mkirakov07@mail.ru Ярославский государственный технический университет Yaroslavl State Technical University Ярославский государственный технический университет Россия Yaroslavl State Technical University Russian Federation 30 11 2025 30 11 2025 11 182 191 04 11 2025 12 11 2025 https://theoreticaleconomy.ru/en/nauka/article/115479/view

В статье анализируется взаимосвязь между уровнем оплаты труда и притоком прямых иностранных инвестиций (ПИИ) в экономику Вьетнама в контексте ее структурной трансформации от трудоинтенсивной к более технологически ориентированной модели развития. Эмпирическая база исследования охватывает период 2005-2024 гг. и включает показатели средней заработной платы (в VND) и объемов ПИИ, сформированные на основе данных Всемирного банка и национальных статистических источников. Методологически работа опирается на корреляционный анализ и линейное регрессионное моделирование, позволяющие количественно оценить характер и силу связи между исследуемыми переменными. Полученные результаты свидетельствуют о наличии статистически значимой и устойчивой положительной связи между ростом заработных плат и объемом привлекаемых ПИИ: увеличение стоимости рабочей силы сопровождается увеличением инвестиционной активности иностранных инвесторов. Это указывает на усиление конкурентных преимуществ Вьетнама как страны размещения трудоемких производств. В то же время выявленная зависимость интерпретируется с учетом ограничений модели, не включающей институциональные, макроэкономические и отраслевые факторы.

The article analyzes the relationship between wage levels and foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows into Vietnam’s economy in the context of its structural transformation from a labor-intensive to a more technology-oriented development model. The empirical basis of the study covers the period from 2005 to 2024 and includes data on average wages (in VND) and FDI volumes, derived from World Bank and national statistical sources. Methodologically, the paper relies on correlation analysis and linear regression modeling, which allow for a quantitative assessment of the nature and strength of the relationship between the variables under study. The results obtained indicate the presence of a statistically significant and stable positive correlation between wage growth and FDI inflows: an increase in labor costs is accompanied by a rise in foreign investor activity. This points to the strengthening of Vietnam’s competitive advantages as a host country for labor-intensive production. At the same time, the identified dependence is interpreted with consideration of the model’s limitations, which does not include institutional, macroeconomic, and sectoral factors.

 уровень оплаты труда во Вьетнаме; прямые иностранные инвестиции во Вьетнам замещение труда капиталом; корреляционный и регрессионный анализ wage levels in Vietnam; foreign direct investment in Vietnam; labor–capital substitution; correlation and regression analysis

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